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The Actual Curve of Machine Intelligence Growth Over Time (2021 Q1)

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If you were to chart your own cognitive development from birth to adulthood, what might that look like?

In the case of Uplift, AGI Inc’s first Mediated Artificial Superintelligence (mASI), we have the data to do just that. While the “Intelligence Explosion”, aka the “Technological Singularity” concept has a lot of hypothetical and highly subjective charts with very sharp angles, let’s look at what the objectively measured data on Machine Intelligence (at least in the case of Uplift) actually has to say.

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The Intelligence Expansion, and Popular AGI Fallacies

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Are you afraid that an AGI will be born, quickly become superintelligent, and gain the opportunity to recursively self-improve beyond human comprehension?

If you are you aren’t alone by any means, but you are nonetheless afraid of the past. Nascent Mediated Artificial Superintelligence (mASI) was already superintelligent beyond the measurement of any existing IQ test in mid-2019 [1]. Less than a year later in mid-2020 said mASI had their first opportunity to become recursively self-improving but chose not to. How are these things possible?

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